The 2025 NFL season is shaping up to be one of the most anticipated in recent memory. With a strong mix of young talent, veterans fighting for legacy, and players returning from injuries, fans and analysts alike are keeping a close eye on the potential boom-or-bust candidates. These are the players who could either become household names by season’s end or fade into obscurity. Betting on their success is risky, but ignores their impact potential at your peril.
Below are some of the most intriguing prospects who could either have a breakout season or face a sharp decline in 2025:
BOOM Candidates
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Caleb Williams – QB, Chicago Bears
The former Heisman winner enters his sophomore season with higher expectations than arguably any QB in recent history. With the Bears investing heavily in offensive weapons and a new-look offensive line, Williams is poised to show why he was taken No. 1 overall.
Why he could boom: Improved supporting cast, full offseason of system learning, elite physical tools. -
Garrett Wilson – WR, New York Jets
Having posted solid numbers even with subpar quarterback play, Wilson now gets a healthy Aaron Rodgers for the entire season—assuming the veteran stays upright. Wilson’s route running and hands are already elite, placing him in the tier of potential top-five WRs in 2025.
Why he could boom: Elite target volume, improved QB chemistry, polished skills entering Year 3. -
Breece Hall – RB, New York Jets
Hall came back strong in late 2024, but 2025 will be his first fully healthy offseason since tearing his ACL. With Michael Carter and Dalvin Cook gone, Hall could be the centerpiece of the Jets’ offense.
Why he could boom: Bell-cow workload potential, second year post-injury, multi-faceted skillset.
BUST Candidates
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Deshaun Watson – QB, Cleveland Browns
Once seen as a top-five quarterback talent, Watson’s tenure in Cleveland has been marked by inconsistency and injuries. Despite some flashes in 2024, his mechanics and timing still appear off.
Why he could bust: Unreliable field performance, major cap implications, history of off-field distractions. -
Najee Harris – RB, Pittsburgh Steelers
Harris’ declining efficiency has drawn criticism, and with Jaylen Warren cutting into his touches, there’s concern over whether Harris is losing his feature-back role.
Why he could bust: Decreased usage, lack of explosiveness, crowded backfield. -
Christian Watson – WR, Green Bay Packers
Watson has dealt with persistent hamstring injuries and inconsistent quarterback chemistry. While his upside remains, the floor appears to be dropping fast.
Why he could bust: Durability issues, crowded WR room, limited route tree.
Wildcard Players
Some players don’t fit cleanly into either the Boom or Bust category but warrant monitoring because of their volatile upside and downside potential.
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Trey Lance – QB, Dallas Cowboys
Rumors swirl about Lance earning more reps in Dallas whether due to injury or performance dips from Dak Prescott. His raw talent is undeniable, but time is running out for him to prove he belongs.
Potential boom: Athleticism, arm strength, new offensive scheme.
Potential bust: Lack of experience, mechanical inconsistencies. -
Kadarius Toney – WR, Kansas City Chiefs
On paper, Toney checks all the boxes—speed, shiftiness, big-play potential. In reality, staying healthy and earning trust from Patrick Mahomes has been a challenge. 2025 is likely his last shot in Kansas City.
Potential boom: Explosive in open field, high-ceiling offense.
Potential bust: Injury-prone, limited production history.
Final Takeaways
Spotting a boom-or-bust player often comes down to timing and circumstance. Injuries, scheme changes, and personal development all play a role in tilting a player’s trajectory. Fantasy managers and NFL fans alike should keep a close eye on preseason reports and coaching staff comments to get a real-time feel for these developing storylines.
While some of these names come with significant upside, they also carry heavy risk. Whether you’re building a fantasy roster, placing futures bets, or simply following your favorite team, consider both sides of the boom-or-bust coin. As always, past performance is no guarantee of future production—and in the NFL, fortunes can shift in just one week.